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Satellite: Sentinel-2 cloudless 2016 by EOX IT Services GmbH · CC BY 4.0 · Contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2016
Aurora forecastKp now: 3.7 · active

Northern lights in New Zealand

Kp neededKp 1.2Oban
Places2,442Kp 5: 21%
Best monthSeptember
41.11° S, 169.22° E

2,442 places in New Zealand have their own aurora page. At Kp 5 the lights reach the horizon in 21% of them; the lowest Kp needed is 1.2, in Oban. The best months are April, September and October.

  • Kp 0–2
  • Kp 2–4
  • Kp 4–6
  • Kp 6–8
  • Kp 8–9
Kp needed · on the horizon

Tonight's best places

Unlikely tonight.

Kp forecast for the next three days

03579Kp 3.33Kp 3.67Kp 4.67Kp 2.33Kp 3.00Kp 3.00Kp 4.33Kp 3.67Kp 2.00Kp 2.33Kp 2.67Kp 2.33Kp 2.67Kp 2.33Kp 2.33Kp 2.00Kp 2.00Kp 2.00Kp 2.33Kp 2.67Kp 2.33Kp 2.00Kp 2.00Kp 1.67Kp 1.67Kp 1.67Kp 1.67Kp 3.00Thu 22Fri 23Sat 24Sun 25

Which Kp do you need?

  1. Kp 4activeInvercargill, Gore, Milton, Bluff, Riverton, Otautau
  2. Kp 5minor stormDunedin, Queenstown, Timaru, Oamaru, Port Chalmers, Wānaka
  3. Kp 6moderate stormChristchurch, Greymouth, Rangiora, Lyttelton, Rolleston, Ashburton
  4. Kp 7strong stormWellington, Nelson, Porirua, Lower Hutt, Richmond, Wainuiomata
  5. Kp 8severe stormNew Plymouth, Palmerston North, Whanganui, Upper Hutt, Havelock North, Masterton
  6. Kp 9extreme stormHamilton, Tauranga, Rotorua, Whakatāne, Napier, Te Awamutu

The best places

PlaceKp neededoverheadNights a yearwith a clear skyBest month
InvercargillKp 3.7Kp 6.26234September
RivertonKp 3.7Kp 6.26234September
OtataraKp 3.6Kp 6.16234September
WaikiwiKp 3.7Kp 6.26234September
Awarua PlainsKp 3.6Kp 6.16234September
BluffKp 3.6Kp 6.16234September
ObanKp 3.4Kp 5.96233September
MiltonKp 4Kp 6.54526September
KaitangataKp 3.9Kp 6.44526September
StirlingKp 3.9Kp 6.44526September
RiversdaleKp 4Kp 6.54525September
BalcluthaKp 3.9Kp 6.44525September
OwakaKp 3.8Kp 6.34525September
OtautauKp 3.8Kp 6.34525September
TapanuiKp 4Kp 6.54525September
GoreKp 3.9Kp 6.44525September
PapatowaiKp 3.7Kp 6.24525September
WintonKp 3.8Kp 6.34525September
MatauraKp 3.8Kp 6.34525September
WallacetownKp 3.7Kp 6.24525September
TuatapereKp 3.7Kp 6.24525September
ClintonKp 3.9Kp 6.44525September
NightcapsKp 3.8Kp 6.34525September
EdendaleKp 3.7Kp 6.24525September
WyndhamKp 3.7Kp 6.24525September
KaritaneKp 4.3Kp 6.83319April
MiddlemarchKp 4.3Kp 6.83319April
WaitatiKp 4.2Kp 6.73319April
WaikouaitiKp 4.3Kp 6.83319April
WarringtonKp 4.2Kp 6.73319April

Regions

Chance of seeing the lights on a night, by month

0%5%10%Jan: 4%4%Feb: 6%6%Mar: 9%9%Apr: 10%10%May: 7%7%Jun: 6%6%Jul: 8%8%Aug: 8%8%Sep: 10%10%Oct: 9%9%Nov: 6%6%Dec: 4%4%JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec

Bars: nights with the Kp needed in true darkness × the usual clear sky.

How it works

The Kp index measures how disturbed the Earth's magnetic field is, from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), in three-hour steps. The stronger the disturbance, the further the auroral oval — the ring of light around each magnetic pole — spreads towards the equator.

What counts is the magnetic, not the geographic, latitude. The magnetic pole lies over northern Canada, so North America sees the lights much further south than Europe or Asia at the same latitude. For every place we compute its magnetic latitude and from it the Kp at which the edge of the oval appears low on the horizon and the Kp at which it is overhead.

You also need true darkness (the sun at least 12° below the horizon — around midsummer there is none in the far north), a clear sky and ideally no bright moon. The monthly odds on each page combine thirty years of measured Kp during the dark hours with the place's usual cloud cover.

Northern and southern lights forecast