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Satellite: Sentinel-2 cloudless 2016 by EOX IT Services GmbH · CC BY 4.0 · Contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2016
Aurora forecastKp now: 3.7 · active

Northern lights in Estonia

Kp neededKp 2.2Pärispea
Places6,893Kp 5: 100%
Best monthSeptember
58.68° N, 25.31° E

6,893 places in Estonia have their own aurora page. At Kp 5 the lights reach the horizon in 100% of them; the lowest Kp needed is 2.2, in Pärispea. The best months are March, September and October.

  • Kp 0–2
  • Kp 2–4
  • Kp 4–6
  • Kp 6–8
  • Kp 8–9
Kp needed · on the horizon

Tonight's best places

Unlikely tonight.

Kp forecast for the next three days

03579Kp 3.33Kp 3.67Kp 4.67Kp 2.33Kp 3.00Kp 3.00Kp 4.33Kp 3.67Kp 2.00Kp 2.33Kp 2.67Kp 2.33Kp 2.67Kp 2.33Kp 2.33Kp 2.00Kp 2.00Kp 2.00Kp 2.33Kp 2.67Kp 2.33Kp 2.00Kp 2.00Kp 1.67Kp 1.67Kp 1.67Kp 1.67Kp 3.00Thu 22Fri 23Sat 24Sun 25

Which Kp do you need?

  1. Kp 3unsettledTallinn, Tartu, Pärnu, Narva, Rakvere, Haapsalu
  2. Kp 4activeKuressaare, Võru, Valga, Põlva, Viljandi, Elva

The best places

PlaceKp neededoverheadNights a yearwith a clear skyBest month
KelnaseKp 2.3Kp 4.816179September
JumindaKp 2.3Kp 4.816178September
PärispeaKp 2.3Kp 4.816178September
ViinistuKp 2.3Kp 4.816178September
TahkunaKp 2.6Kp 5.113671September
LehtmaKp 2.6Kp 5.113671September
SigalaKp 2.7Kp 5.213670September
MalvasteKp 2.7Kp 5.213670September
SaxbyKp 2.7Kp 5.213670September
SpithamiKp 2.6Kp 5.113669September
PerakülaKp 2.6Kp 5.113669September
TuksiKp 2.6Kp 5.113669September
SutlepaKp 2.6Kp 5.113669September
HatuKp 2.6Kp 5.113669September
Harju-RistiKp 2.6Kp 5.113669September
KurkseKp 2.5Kp 513669September
PaldiskiKp 2.5Kp 513668September
LohusaluKp 2.5Kp 513668September
MadiseKp 2.5Kp 513668September
LaulasmaaKp 2.5Kp 513668September
PadiseKp 2.6Kp 5.113668September
PõllkülaKp 2.5Kp 513668September
KloogaKp 2.5Kp 513668September
KloogarannaKp 2.5Kp 513668September
ÄmariKp 2.5Kp 513668September
TürisaluKp 2.5Kp 513668September
SuurupiKp 2.4Kp 4.913668September
VitiKp 2.4Kp 4.913668September
Keila-JoaKp 2.5Kp 513668September
VäänaKp 2.5Kp 513668September

Regions

RegionPlacesKp needed (min)Kp 5The best places
Harjumaa627Kp 2.2100%Kelnase
Lääne-Virumaa633Kp 2.3100%Vergi
Ida-Virumaa281Kp 2.4100%Moldova
Lääne278Kp 2.5100%Saxby
Järvamaa332Kp 2.6100%Peedu
Raplamaa416Kp 2.6100%Pajaka
Hiiumaa189Kp 2.6100%Tahkuna
Jõgevamaa340Kp 2.6100%Omedu
Tartu548Kp 2.8100%Nina
Pärnumaa729Kp 2.8100%Virtsu
Saare572Kp 2.9100%Kõruse
Viljandimaa503Kp 2.9100%Venevere
Põlvamaa360Kp 3100%Kikka
Valgamaa268Kp 3.1100%Piiri
Võrumaa817Kp 3.2100%Värska

Chance of seeing the lights on a night, by month

0%25%50%Jan: 21%21%Feb: 23%23%Mar: 28%28%Apr: 25%25%May: 9%9%Jun: 0%Jul: 1%Aug: 24%24%Sep: 32%32%Oct: 27%27%Nov: 21%21%Dec: 20%20%JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec

Bars: nights with the Kp needed in true darkness × the usual clear sky.

How it works

The Kp index measures how disturbed the Earth's magnetic field is, from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), in three-hour steps. The stronger the disturbance, the further the auroral oval — the ring of light around each magnetic pole — spreads towards the equator.

What counts is the magnetic, not the geographic, latitude. The magnetic pole lies over northern Canada, so North America sees the lights much further south than Europe or Asia at the same latitude. For every place we compute its magnetic latitude and from it the Kp at which the edge of the oval appears low on the horizon and the Kp at which it is overhead.

You also need true darkness (the sun at least 12° below the horizon — around midsummer there is none in the far north), a clear sky and ideally no bright moon. The monthly odds on each page combine thirty years of measured Kp during the dark hours with the place's usual cloud cover.

Northern and southern lights forecast