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Satellite: Sentinel-2 cloudless 2016 by EOX IT Services GmbH · CC BY 4.0 · Contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2016
Aurora forecastKp now: 2 · quiet

Northern lights in Belarus

Kp neededKp 4.2Asvieja
Places25,170Kp 5: 28%
Best monthSeptember
53.55° N, 28.03° E

25,170 places in Belarus have their own aurora page. At Kp 5 the lights reach the horizon in 28% of them; the lowest Kp needed is 4.2, in Asvieja. The best months are March, September and October.

  • Kp 0–2
  • Kp 2–4
  • Kp 4–6
  • Kp 6–8
  • Kp 8–9
Kp needed · on the horizon

Tonight's best places

Unlikely tonight.

Kp forecast for the next three days

03579Kp 3.67Kp 4.67Kp 2.33Kp 3.00Kp 3.00Kp 4.33Kp 4.00Kp 2.00Kp 2.33Kp 2.67Kp 2.33Kp 2.67Kp 2.33Kp 2.33Kp 2.00Kp 2.00Kp 2.00Kp 2.33Kp 2.67Kp 2.33Kp 2.00Kp 2.00Kp 1.67Kp 1.67Kp 1.67Kp 1.67Kp 3.00Thu 22Fri 23Sat 24Sun 25

Which Kp do you need?

  1. Kp 5minor stormVitebsk, Polotsk, Novopolotsk, Hlybokaye, Braslaw, Pastavy
  2. Kp 6moderate stormMinsk, Hrodna, Baranavichy, Babruysk, Mahilyow, Orsha
  3. Kp 7strong stormGomel, Brest, Pinsk, Kobryn, Mazyr, Svyetlahorsk

The best places

PlaceKp neededoverheadNights a yearwith a clear skyBest month
KlyastitsyKp 4.3Kp 6.83818September
RasonyKp 4.3Kp 6.83817September
AsviejaKp 4.3Kp 6.83717September
VyerkhnyadzvinskKp 4.4Kp 6.92713September
SharkovshchinaKp 4.6Kp 7.12713September
DruyaKp 4.4Kp 6.92713September
BraslawKp 4.5Kp 72713September
PyerabroddzyeKp 4.5Kp 72713September
LuzhkiKp 4.6Kp 7.12713September
BorovkaKp 4.4Kp 6.92713September
DzisnaKp 4.5Kp 72713September
BigosovoKp 4.4Kp 6.92713September
PolotskKp 4.5Kp 72713September
VidzyKp 4.6Kp 7.12713September
ZaskarkiKp 4.6Kp 7.12713September
BahatyrskayaKp 4.5Kp 72713September
StrustoKp 4.5Kp 72713September
MioryKp 4.5Kp 72713September
IkazńKp 4.5Kp 72713September
NovopolotskKp 4.5Kp 72713September
VyetrynaKp 4.6Kp 7.12713September
Borovukha PervayaKp 4.5Kp 72713September
ObaĺKp 4.6Kp 7.12713September
YanovichiKp 4.6Kp 7.12713September
SurazhKp 4.6Kp 7.12713September
LuzhesnoKp 4.7Kp 7.22713September
ShumilinoKp 4.6Kp 7.12713September
YezerishcheKp 4.4Kp 6.92713September
BabinichiKp 4.7Kp 7.22713September
PrazarokiKp 4.7Kp 7.22712September

Regions

RegionPlacesKp needed (min)Kp 5The best places
Vitebsk6,932Kp 4.292%Klyastitsy
Minsk5,247Kp 4.87%Svir
Grodnenskaya4,163Kp 4.86%Hierviaty
Mogilev3,711Kp 5.10%Shklov
Minsk City24Kp 5.40%Minsk
Homyel’ Voblasc’2,725Kp 5.70%Parychy
Brest2,368Kp 5.70%Bytsyen’

Chance of seeing the lights on a night, by month

0%5%10%Jan: 3%3%Feb: 3%3%Mar: 5%5%Apr: 5%5%May: 3%3%Jun: 0%Jul: 2%2%Aug: 4%4%Sep: 7%7%Oct: 6%6%Nov: 3%3%Dec: 2%2%JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec

Bars: nights with the Kp needed in true darkness × the usual clear sky.

How it works

The Kp index measures how disturbed the Earth's magnetic field is, from 0 (quiet) to 9 (extreme storm), in three-hour steps. The stronger the disturbance, the further the auroral oval — the ring of light around each magnetic pole — spreads towards the equator.

What counts is the magnetic, not the geographic, latitude. The magnetic pole lies over northern Canada, so North America sees the lights much further south than Europe or Asia at the same latitude. For every place we compute its magnetic latitude and from it the Kp at which the edge of the oval appears low on the horizon and the Kp at which it is overhead.

You also need true darkness (the sun at least 12° below the horizon — around midsummer there is none in the far north), a clear sky and ideally no bright moon. The monthly odds on each page combine thirty years of measured Kp during the dark hours with the place's usual cloud cover.

Northern and southern lights forecast